ASSESSMENT OF ORDER IN ANTHROPOGENIC-GEOMORPHOLOGICAL SYSTEMS OF THE NEW MOSCOW AREA BASED ON COMBINED EXPERT AND STATISTICAL EVALUATION

Abstract

One of the most important tasks of anthropogenic geomorphology is the identification of strategic linkages and sustainable interactions to determine the optimal operation and organization of anthropogenic-geomorphological systems. This is especially true for engineering-organized systems, because it is at this level of anthropogenic transformation of a landscape and underlying substrate that their development extends beyond the limits of natural processes and follows a technological scenario with predetermined parameters, but technogenic impact does not change the general direction of development. In the evaluation of complex anthropogenic-natural linkages at the regional level, it is rational to use a combination of expert and statistical methods. The proposed integrated approach that combines expert geomorphological assessment of the resource potential and cluster analysis allows to better designate man-made geomorphological systems, to analyze their organization, to differentiate these systems taking into account their suitability for different types of anthropogenic transformation, and to give recommendations for future development.
Integration of statistically defined anthropogenically transformed morpholithogenetic clusters and resource categories of land defined by expert assessments provides clear and specific guidelines for the economic development of a territory. Such recommendations are made for the territory of New Moscow, where eight categories of land with different regimes were proposed and their areal distribution justified. Application of the elaborated technique and site assessment can improve the forecasting potential for anthropogenic geomorphological systems and help to avoid both catastrophic processes and inefficient, costly situations. Both of these aspects are relevant in the present moment, in relation to the ongoing large-scale works in the area of New Moscow.